Week #16 Game by Game Projections  By The Hog

 A great thigh high powder day indeed.  This week's games are all about the play-off picture.  Whether fighting for a wild card berth or hoping for home field advantage, the play-offs will impact every game this week.  After a great powder day in the The Boat the wait is over and we hope you enjoy the analysis with your own après ski beverage.

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ATL at DET | NO at DAL | TEN at GB | IND at KC | BUF at MIA | WAS at PHI | CIN at PIT | STL at TB
OAK at CAR | NE at JAX | NYG at BAL | MIN at HOU | CLE at DEN | SF at SEA | CHI at ARI |
SD at NYJ

27 17
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Matt Ryan

250 0 0 2 18

QB

 Matthew Stafford

250 0 0 2 18

RB

Michael Turner

  60 0 1 12

RB

Mikel Leshoure

  75 25 0 10

WR

Jacquizz Rodgers

  50 25 0 7 RB

Joique Bell

  25 25 0 5

WR

Julio Jones

    100 1 16

WR

Calvin Johnson

  0 100 1 16

WR

Roddy White

    50 0 5

WR

Kris Durham

  0 50 0 5

TE

Tony Gonzalez

    75 1 13

TE

Tony Scheffler

  0 50 1 11

K

Matt Bryant

        9

K

Jason Hanson

        5
D           5 D           2

Summary:  With a win Atlanta clinches a first round bye and home field advantage, so the Falcons have a reason to play hard.  Detroit is playing for pride and has been eliminated from the playoffs.  The Lions won't roll over, but they may try some unconventional options and throw in a few auditions for next year.

Roddy looks like he's ready to roll.  Calvin needs 182 to break Jerry Rice's record so expect yards and hopefully a TD against a tough pass D.   Turner may outperform the numbers we gave him here.

 

28 31
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Drew Brees

300 0 0 4 28

QB

Tony Romo

250 0 0 3 22

RB

Mark Ingram

  50 0 0 5

RB

DeMarco Murray

  100 0 1 16

RB

Darren Sproles

  50 50 1 16

WR

Dez Bryant (inj)

  0 75 1 13

WR

Marques Colston

  0 75 1 13

WR

Miles Austin

  0 75 1 13

WR

Lance Moore

  0 75 1 13

WR

Kevin Ogletree

  0 25 0 2

WR

Devery Henderson

  0 25 0 2

TE

Jason Witten

  0 75 1 13

TE

Jimmy Graham

  0 75 1 13

K

Dan Bailey

        7

K

Garrett Hartley

        4

D

 

        2
D           2              

Summary:  It'll take some voodoo, but with a little black magic the Saints still have wild card hopes.  The Cowboys are in a better position but need a win to ensure they're in.  In a must win situation for both teams we expect to see some desperation on the field.  Should be an entertaining hard fought match-up.

Dez is a go and this game will be a real nail biter.  Saint's have been a beast against passers lately, but I look for Romo to be in catch-up mode for most of this game.

 

17 24
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Jake Locker

200 0 0 1 14

QB

Aaron Rodgers

300 0 0 3 24

RB

Chris Johnson

  100 25 1 18

RB

Alex Green

  50 0 0 5

WR

Kendall Wright

  0 25 0 2

RB

Ryan Grant 

  50 0 0 5

WR

Kenny Britt

  0 75 1 13

WR

James Jones

  0 75 1 13

WR

Nate Washington

  0 50 0 5

WR

Greg Jennings

  0 75 1 13

TE

Taylor Thompson

  0 25 0 2

WR

Randall Cobb

  0 75 1 13

K

Rob Bironas

         

TE

Jermichael Finley

  0 75 0 7
K            

K

Mason Crosby

        6
D             D           4

Summary: Packers are in, Titans are out.  The Pack shows the colors we expect out of Green Bay, and the Titans fold but end up with a couple of garbage time TDs.

Johnson will need to break a big, again, to be viable.   It's a crap-shoot with the Packers receivers, so play them at your own risk.   Jordy will not play.

 

21 10
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Andrew Luck

275 0 0 2 19

QB

Brady Quinn

150 0 0 0 6

RB

Vick Ballard

  75 0 1 13

RB

Jamaal Charles

  100 0 1 16

WR

TY Hilton

  0 100 1 16

RB

Peyton Hillis

  25 0 0 2

WR

Reggie Wayne

  0 100 1 16

WR

Baldwin/Breaston/????

  0 50 0 5

WR

Donnie Avery

  0 50 0 5

WR

Dexter McCluster

  0 50 0 5

TE

Dwayne Allen

  0 25 0 2

TE

Tony Moeaki

  0 50 0 5

K

Adam Vinatieri

        3

K

Ryan Succop

        4
D           2 D           4

Summary:  The Colts continue their charge to the play-offs, while the Chiefs continue to vie the worst record in the NFL.  Charles is the only fantasy value in KC.  As long as the Colts don't fall asleep we should see Hilton continue to earn some respect and Wayne to step it up in the end zone.

 

24 17
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Ryan Fitzpatrick

200 0 0 2 16

QB

Ryan Tannehill

200 0 0 1 12

RB

CJ Spiller

  75 50 1 18

RB

Reggie Bush

  50 50 0 10

WR

Donald Jones

  0 25 0 2

WR

Daniel Thomas (Inj)

  50 0 0 5

WR

Stevie Johnson

  0 75 1 13

WR

Davon Bess (Inj)

  0 25 0 2

TE

Scott Chandler

  0 50 1 11

TE

Brian Hartline

  0 75 1 13

K

Rian Lindell

        6

K

Anthony Fasano

  0 50 0 5
D           4 D

Dan Carpenter (IR)

        5
                          3

Summary:  The Phin's try to keep their heads above water, but Miami's chances are about as good as getting a Buffalo to float. Let's just say they aren't mathematically eliminated.  Thomas came out of the game in week 15 with a knee injury, and Bess may not be healthy by Sunday.  Watch the injury reports as the week progresses.  The Bills are out, but in Buffalo jobs are on the line.  Fitzpatrick will try to prove he deserves his starting role.  The Bills will manage to score better than last week and pull out the win.

Troubles in Miami's pass D means a bigger day for Stevie than we estimated.  Get him in there!   Dan Carpenter was put in IR. 

 

31 17
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Cousins/RG III

250 50 0 3 29

QB

Nick Foles

200 0 0 1 14

RB

Alfred Morris

  100 0 1 16

RB

McCoy/Brown

  75 25 1 16

WR

Pierre Garcon

  0 100 1 16

WR

Jeremy Maclin

  0 75 0 7

WR

Santana Moss

  0 75 1 13

WR

Jason Avant

  0 50 0 5

WR

 D. Young/Morgan

  0 25 0 2

WR

Riley Cooper

  0 50 1 11

TE

Logan Paulsen

  0 50 0 5

TE

Brent Celek

  0 0 0 0

K

Billy Cundiff

        7

K

Alex Henery

        5
D           3 D           1

Summary:  Redskins are in the thick of things and the Eagles are trying to fly the coop.  Too little too late - McCoy is finally cleared to play.  The Eagles gain nothing but another injury risk by playing McCoy, and they still need to find out what Brown is really made of.  A split at best.  The Redskins hang in the balance while waiting for RGIII to return.  Garcon's numbers drop without RGIII and Young/Morgan benefit if Cousins gets the start.

RGIII looks good to go this week.  Don't expect 50 rushing yard as he will be using his arm.  A healthy McCoy should get most of the carries.

 

24 28
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Andy Dalton

225 0 0 2 17

QB

Ben Roethlisberger

250 0 0 3 22

RB

BenJarvus Green-Ellis

  75 25 1 16

RB

Jonathan Dwyer

  50 0 1 11

WR

A.J. Green

  0 100 1 16

WR

Mike Wallace

  0 100 1 16

WR

Brandon Tate

  0 0 0 0

WR

Antonio Brown

  0 75 1 13

WR

Andrew Hawkins

  0 50 0 5

WR

Emmanuel Sanders

  0 25 0 2

TE

Jermaine Gresham

  0 50 1 11

TE

Heath Miller

  0 50 1 11

K

Josh Brown

        6

K

Shaun Suisham

        4
D           3 D           4

Summary:  The Bengals clinch a playoff berth with a win this week.  Pittsburgh is in a must win situation.  A loss this week would require magic on the magnitude of turning steel into gold for the Steelers to stay alive.  The Division rivalry adds to emotions and heightens the play on both sides of the ball.

 

 

14 24
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Sam Bradford

225 0 0 1 15

QB

Josh Freeman

225 0 0 2 17

RB

Steven Jackson

  75 0 1 13

RB

Doug Martin

  75 25 1 `6

WR

Brandon Gibson

  0 50 0 5

WR

Vincent Jackson

  0 75 1 13

WR

C. Givins

  0 50 0 5

WR

Mike Williams

  0 75 1 13

WR

Danny Amendola

  0 100 1 16

TE

Dallas Clark

  0 50 0 5

TE

Lance Kendricks

  0 25 0 2

k

Connor Barth

  0 0 0 6

K

Greg Zuerlein

        2 D           3
D           2              

Summary:  Snoozer!

 

17 24
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Carson Palmer

200 0 0 1 14

QB

Cam Newton

200 50 0 2 23

RB

 Darren McFadden

  100 0 1 16

RB

DeAngelo Williams

  75 0 0 7

WR

Denarius Moore

  0 50 0 5

RB

M Tolbert

  50 25 1 13

WR

Darrius Heyward-Bey

  0 50 1 11

WR

Steve Smith

  0 100 1 16

WR

Rod Streater

  0 50 0 5

WR

Brandon LaFell (inj)

  0 25 0 2

TE

Brandon Myers

  0 50 0 5

TE

Greg Olsen

  0 50 0 5

K

Sebastian Janikowski

        5

K

Graham Gano

        6
D           2 D           3

 Summary:  As good as the Chiefs made the Oakland defense look, Cam will show their dirty underwear.  Tolbert raised his head again as the TD vulture and will do so again.  McFadden just does not look the same this year and that foot may be slowing him more than anyone admits.   Look for some scoring in this one with Carolina winning in the end.

Stewart will be back to screw with DeAngelo's new found mojo.

 

38 13
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Tom Brady

300 0 0 3 24

QB

Chad Henne

200     1 14

RB

Stevan Ridley

  75 0 1 13

RB

MJD /Owens

  75     7

RB

Danny Woodhead

  25 50 1 13

RB

Montell Owens

  50     5

WR

Wes Welker

  0 100 1 16

WR

Cecil Shorts

  0 100 1 16

WR

Brandon Lloyd

  0 75 0 7

WR

Justin Blackmon

  0 50   5

TE

Aaron Hernandez

  0 75 1 13

WR

Laurent Robinson

  0      

K

Stephen Gostkowski

        8

TE

Marcedes Lewis

  0 50   5
D         1 9

K

Josh Scobee

         

 Summary: Danny Woodhead looked very good against a stiff San Fran Defense when Ridley could not hang on to the ball.   He has earned a larger role this week and Belichek will give it to him.

There has been a Gronk siting!  He's questionalbe, but that does not mean much in NE.   Stay away from him.

 

24 17
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Eli Manning

250 0 0 2 18

QB

Joe Flacco

200 0 0 1 14
RB

 David Wilson

  75 0 1 13

RB

Ray Rice

  100 0 1 16

WR

Hakeem Nicks

    75 1 13

WR

Torrey Smith

  0 50 0 5

WR

Victor Cruz

    75 1 13

WR

Anquan Boldin

  0 50 0 5

WR

Domenik Hixon

    50 0 5

WR

Jacoby Jones

  0 25 0 2

TE

Martellus Bennett

    50 0 5

TE

Dennis Pitta

  0 75 1 13

K

Lawrence Tynes

        6

K

Justin Tucker

        5
D           4 D           2

 Summary:  How do you even go about picking the Giants when they have been all over the board?  This looks to be a tough matchup if Ray Lewis is back on the field and they laid an egg last week.  Nonetheless, tied for 1st in the NFC East and Coughlin will not like last weeks results.  In spite of everything, we see a Giants win over a Ravens offense that has been sluggish at best.

Looks like Bradshaw will be active for this one.   Check him out pre-game.

 

21 28
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Christian Ponder

150 25 0 1 13

QB

Matt Schaub

225 0 0 2 21

RB

Adrian Peterson

  125 0 2 24

RB

Arian Foster

  100 0 1 16

RB

Jerome Simpson

  0 25 0 2

RB

Forsett/Tate

  50 25 0 7

WR

Michael Jenkins

  0 50 0 5

WR

Andre Johnson

  0 100 1 16

WR

Jarius Wright

  0 25 0 2

WR

Kevin Walter

  0 50 0 5

TE

Kyle Rudolph

  0 50 0 5

TE

Owen Daniels

  0 50 1 11

K

Blair Walsh

        3

K

Shayne Graham

        4
D           2 D         1 8

 Summary:  The Texans are a better class of defense than most and will partially succeed at slowing down the Peterson express.  There is a reason that Houston is on top of the AFC and Christian will be pondering by the end of this one.

 

17 31
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Brandon Weeden

200 25 0 1 16

QB

Peyton Manning

300 0 0 3 24

RB

Trent Richardson

  100 0 1 16

RB

Knowshon Moreno

  75 25 1 16

WR

Josh Gordon

  0 75 0 7

WR

Demaryius Thomas

  0 75 1 16

WR

Josh Cribbs/Massaquoi

  0 25 0 2

WR

Eric Decker

  0 75 1 16

WR

Greg Little

  0 50 1 11

WR

Brandon Stokely

  0 75 0 7

TE

Ben Watson

  0 50 0 5

TE

Tamme/Dreessen

  0 50 1 11

K

Phil Dawson

        5

K

Matt Prater

        7
D           2 D           5

 Summary:  This could be a shoot-out at the Mile-High Corral.  Denver is playing for a first round bye and the Browns are out.  The makings off a pretty lopsided game.  Look for Peyton to pour it on as the Browns try to save face.  The Broncos run away as the Browns just can't keep pace.

 

14 17
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Collin Kaepernick

200 50 0 1 17

QB

Russell Wilson

175 50 0 1 18

RB

Frank Gore

  75 0 1 13

RB

Marshawn Lynch

  75 25 1 16

WR

Michael Crabtree

  0 75 1 13

WR

Sidney Rice

  0 50 0 5

WR

AJ Jenkins

  0 25 0 2

WR

Golden Tate

  0 50 1 11

WR

Randy Moss

  0 50 0 5

WR

Doug Baldwin

  0 25 0 2

TE

Vernon Davis

  0 50 0 5

TE

Anthony McCoy

  0 25 0 5

K

David Akers

        2

K

Steven Hauschka

        5
D           4 D           4

 Summary:  Two defensive juggernauts go at each other.  This could easily be the NFC championship right here in the NFC West.  Seattle controls their path to the show but not one team in the NFC wants them in the playoffs.  Wilson is playing strong and the Seattle Defense has matured.    On the 49'rs side of the ball another strong team top to bottom.   This should be a GREAT game!

Sidney Rice is Game time decision.   Golden Tate's projections are on the move.

 

24

10

Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Jay Cutler

225 25 0 2 18

QB

Lindley

150 25 0 0 7

RB

Matt Forte

  75 25 1 16

RB

Beanie Wells

  50 0 1 11

RB

Michael Bush

  0 0 0 0

WR

Larry Fitzgerald

  0 50 0 5

WR

Brandon Marshall

  0 100 1 16

WR

Michael Floyd

  0 25 0 2

WR

Hester/Jeffery/???

  0 50 1 11

WR

Andre Roberts

  0 50 0 5

TE

Kellen Davis

  0 50 0 5

TE

Rob Housler

  0 25 0 2

K

Olindo Mare

        6

K

Jay Feely

        4
D           6 D           2

Summary:  Cutler and the Bears should tear this stadium apart.   Problem is that Arizona uncorked one last week and showed that maybe, just maybe there is life down there.   Nonetheless, the Bears are just too strong to lose this game.  We may also have a minor Bush showing this week.

 

17 10
Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts. Pos Player Pass Rush Rec. Tds. Fpts.

QB

Philip Rivers

225 0 0 2 21

QB

McElroy/Tebow

175 25 0 0 8

RB

Ronnie Brown

  50 25 0 7

RB

Shonn Green

  50 0 0 5

WR

Danario Alexander

  0 75 0 7

RB

Bilal Powell

  50 25 1 13

WR

Robert Meachem

  0 25 0 2

WR

Jeremy Kerley

  0 50 0 5

WR

Malcom Floyd

  0 50 1 11

WR

Chaz Schilens

  0 50 0 5

TE

Antonio Gates

  0 50 1 11

TE

 Cumberland

  0 50 0 5

K

Nate Kaeding

        5

K

Nick Folk

        4
D           5 D           2

 Summary: Another yawner of a game.  Both of these teams are out of contention and trying to get a better draft pick next year.   Not saying they quit, just bad football.  Will Tebow get a chance?  We would actually upgrade the Jets if Sanchez spent the rest of his year in Mexico.  Jets fans may prefer forever! 

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